evan1123
u/evan1123
And that 1% chance you bring up is not an independent event like rolling a set of dice where the last roll has no bearing on the next roll's probability. Last year's weather affects this year's weather for every year down the line. Climate probability is not mathematical probability
For the purposes of the AEP, it’s independent events. The floodplain and AEP is computed based on modeling using streamflow data (and more) which is how they account for climatological changes
Flooding is another concern among the commission and residents, as the site is located on a floodplain that's expected to have a major flood once every 100 years
Not what 100 year flood means. Rather, there's a 1% chance in any given year that a flood of this magnitude occurs.
https://www.usgs.gov/special-topics/water-science-school/science/100-year-flood