ForecastLast updated Sep 8, 2:33 PM
Democrats
Republicans
We simulated the results for every district in the House. Each district is shaded by the party favored to win and how safe the race is. Hover a district to see an overview of its forecast, and select it to view the full race.
We ran 1,000,000 simulations of the 2026 House election. Each bar represents the number of simulations resulting in a specific seat margin between Republicans and Democrats.
Below is a list of all 435 House forecasts Decision Desk HQ is tracking in the 2026 election, organized by state. Turn off âBy stateâ to rank races by competitiveness instead, with the closest races at the top.
